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Dubai Grows Up

The place to share news stories and discussions about them. News stories posted to other sections are typically moved here as well. Traditionally, the primary raison d'etre of this section was to post hard-to-access/find articles that often dissapear crossing the GFW. But please note subject and postings are subject to scrutiny.

Dubai Grows Up

Postby phiota » Mon Dec 14, 2009 8:28 pm

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/14/opini ... wanted=all

December 14, 2009
Op-Ed Contributor
Dubai Grows Up
By CLAUDIA PUGH-THOMAS

Dubai, United Arab Emirates

THE morning after the United Arab Emirates turned 38, the streets were deserted but for the foreign workers dressed in orange coveralls. They swept the confetti from Dubai’s beach road, wiped Silly String from the lenses of the traffic cameras and retrieved the carcasses of rockets. Long gone were the crystal-encrusted Hummers and Escalades that had paraded up and down in their finery. A cacophony of horns and cheers and firecrackers had filled the night; now everything was quiet.

Abandoned near a bus stop, one S.U.V. still bore the signs of Dec. 2’s celebration: heart-shaped green stickers peppered the hood, streamers in the national colors fluttered at the rear window, the windshield was plastered with an image of Dubai’s ruler, Sheik Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum. His hundred-yard stare is meant, one imagines, to convey the impression of a man gazing at the glorious realization of his vision. But as the emirate teeters on the brink of economic meltdown, Sheik Mohammed’s enigmatic expression seemed more like the look of a man who is seeing his dream rapidly turn sour.

At 38, the brashest, and best-known, of the seven emirates is facing something of a midlife crisis. She has lost the blind optimism of her youth, when the oil rush brought Mercedeses and McDonald’s drive-throughs to the desert, but she has yet to gain the wisdom of old age. Despite constant, furious reinvention and desperate attempts to direct the world’s focus to her door — Come see the world’s tallest tower! A fountain visible from space! A shopping mall that sprawls across 12.1 million square feet! — this city is in danger of losing her oxygen. Without positive publicity, Dubai ceases to exist meaningfully on the world stage.

And if the money really is gone, there will be a significant demographic shift within the expatriates who constitute the majority of the population. We all come here for the money. Some choose to stay for the lifestyle, some for the lack of a better alternative. Many see life in Dubai as a welcome break from civic responsibility; the expat can skim the surface, cream off the good, ignore the bad, live the dream. As long as there’s an economy to speak of. If that fails, you have to leave. No work, no visa, goodbye.

All summer there were reports of cardboard-box shortages and serried ranks of dusty vehicles abandoned at the airport’s international terminal; there were telephone calls from concerned friends and family: “Are you O.K.?” “When are you coming home?” In the air hung the expectation that thousands would leave to ride out the global recession back in their country of origin. Surely, with the end of the academic year, families would pack up their possessions and head off.

But the fact is, many Western expatriates are less capable of escape than they like to believe. They now consider Dubai to be home, for better or worse. They have opened bank accounts and started businesses; they have mortgages on houses in incongruously named developments like the Springs, the Lakes, the Meadows. They are tied to the fate of Dubai as a viable business hub, and if they leave, they stand to lose everything.

So the registrars at the myriad schools catering to European expats say that their waiting lists are still long, their classrooms at capacity. And the mothers gathered in the playgrounds to pick up their children talk of things other than the economy — plans for Christmas, the change in the weather, Rihanna’s New Year’s concert in Abu Dhabi.

Their husbands have reassured them that it will be quite all right. It’s not as bad as has been reported, they say. All countries have financial problems. America’s debt is bigger than Dubai’s. Britain’s economy is in freefall. What we need to do is be optimistic. Abu Dhabi, Dubai’s wealthier, more conservative neighbor, will bail out the prodigal son. And where are you getting your turkey from this year?

Yet there are, behind the glittering facade of marble and the bright masses of bougainvillea, signs of change that are getting harder and harder to ignore. The for-rent signs that last year would have vanished in a flash as thousands came to set up a new life here now hang askew from villas and apartment blocks. Twelve months ago, you paid what you had to even if the landlords were doubling the rent overnight, but if you’re looking to move now, you can haggle, get the bathroom fixed, update the kitchen, knock thousands of dirhams off the asking price.

With the dust storms that move in this time of year, it’s hard to discern which half-constructed tower is actually still being developed and which has been abandoned. Only a matter of months ago, whole swaths of the city — the older parts, some dating back a whole 10 years — were destined for destruction; now dowdy bungalows are being repainted, reappointed and put back on the market. Behind plywood hoardings advertising the latest “integrated community” there is nothing but leveled sand.

What has undeniably changed is the relationship between the local population and the expats. It has always been an uneasy one, the inherent tensions manifest only when an accident on the road occurs and the foreigner is assumed to be in the wrong. Part of this strain is surely growing resentment that the boom, in which Western expats played such a pivotal role, is now over. We might rue the collapse and suffer the economic consequences, but our sense of national identity has not been undermined by Dubai’s rapid demise; we were just along for the ride. For the locals, there is no alternative, no moving on, not ever. The next generation of Dubaians stands to inherit a ruined legacy.

The emirate’s Islamic identity has also suffered over the past decades. How could it be otherwise? Dubai welcomed expatriates from Jersey to Japan, Ethiopia to Estonia — but turned a blind eye to the ills that such a multicultural, transitory mix can spawn, at least until that rootless diversity threatened to become the emirate’s defining trait. The locals complain, rightly in some cases, of a lack of respect for their religious sensitivities, while simultaneously openly embracing many of the less desirable elements of the secularized West.

So we, the foreign workers, are now chastised for our failure to integrate, to engage with local culture and heritage. We are urged to assimilate as best we can. “With what?” is the question. There is no need to speak Arabic in daily life; there is little indigenous culture to explore.

Last week, there was some confusion over what food my children should take into school for the National Day festivities. What exactly is local cuisine? If this were a wedding it would be roasted camel hump. But the supermarket does not stock camel, and as Dubai borrows heavily from Lebanese, Egyptian, Indian and Pakistani cuisine, it is hard to identify what dish is uniquely Dubaian. To feed a class of 7-year-olds, we yielded to the inevitable appeal of cupcakes, iced and decorated with Christmas sprinkles. In festive red, white and green, they lacked only something black to pass as representing the colors of the national flag.

Dubai has become what it is today partly through defiance of normal expectations: here are islands shaped like palm trees, the world’s only seven-star hotel, the world’s richest horse race. But the result is a place that lacks coherence, both physically and psychologically. In many ways, it resembles a glorified film set, awaiting the arrival of the swashbuckling hero to tie all the loose strands together and give this fantasy some credibility. But this most unconventional of places is not immune to reality. How Dubai negotiates this rite of passage will determine whether it will ever be taken seriously. That we are being told this is all just negative publicity, merely a marketing blip, is not a promising sign.

Meantime, the malls are decked with Christmas trees and tinsel. We are reminded to dress modestly as we shop for artificial snow at the indoor ski slope before stopping to watch the roller-skating penguins or to sip a hot chocolate in front of an open fire provided courtesy of a wall-mounted projector. The malls still hum on the weekends and if the shops are offering discounted items, who is to say whether it’s a seasonal affair or a barometer of economic collapse?

Claudia Pugh-Thomas is a writer.


Sounds alittle like Shanghai :wink:
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Postby Michael » Mon Dec 14, 2009 9:48 pm

Here is one of the worst of reports from someone who is there
http://www.rickackerman.com/wp-content/ ... ipeout.htm
**************


Nick note: You will find lots of pictures in this report. They show you the influence peddling, incredible waste and opulence created in Dubai. It is the world's greatest bubble economy – it was built with your money – and it has now wiped out. And it will continue to wipe out don't be fooled.

Dear Larry,

In my travels around the world, I've noticed something that seems to universally hold true. You may have noticed it too.

When their is row after row of construction cranes reaching into the sky, as far as the eye can see, you know its a bubble and is doomed. It must be some kind of pagan symbol, that angers the gods and brings on a great curse. Ultimately those places wipe out.

I saw it in New York in the 1960s. Houston in the 70s. Japan and Los Angeles in the 80s, and Russia in the 90s. More recently in most of the U.S., England, Ireland and Spain.
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Postby phiota » Mon Dec 14, 2009 10:10 pm

Yeah that's what I thought seeing so many cranes when I went to haikou (hainan) in 2005 (3new apartments for every old one...) but of course it is much higher now still afraid with hindsight experiencing the Southern California up and down real estate.
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Postby Henry_Chinaski » Mon Dec 14, 2009 11:04 pm

Article is a bit on the fanatical side with several inaccuracies and omissions.

Also, just today it was announced that Abu Dhabi will lend Dubai 10billion US.
The exposure of Western banks is no larger than 50 billion US (half of it to UK banks).
Notice how he says trillions is owed to several Western banks but the largest piece is 17 billion to HSBC. From trillions to 17 billions there is quite a lot of zeros to go eh?

They DO have assets to liquidate: oil.

Dubai Ports is an important but by no means crucial fundamental player. Those would be the operators of Rotterdam, Long Beach, Hong Kong, Singapore and Shanghai, major hubs/destinations. Further, the assets are all on the port i.e. any problem you take over it and that's it.

The author also painted Dubai as being part of the big bad evil arab gang but omitted the fact that the US sold them nuclear technology earlier this year, just like it did with India (which by the way violated the NPT and raped it to shreds).

"I'm preparing for you another Special Report tape on this. I should have it posted on the Insiders Website in 24 hours."

There you go. Buy his newsletter and you will know all about it!

Reminds me of this clown Gerald Celente was it his name? Who predicted people would be giving food to each other for Xmas and that would be militia on the street?

I dont know Mike, it's an interesting read but I am not sure I believe all he is saying...

I guess we will see real soon won't we?
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Postby Henry_Chinaski » Mon Dec 14, 2009 11:07 pm

Further: he says Dubai doesn't manufacture anything and that is "bad". Well, it is a hub. It is not SUPPOSED to manufacture anything. They are supposed to generate -traffic- and extract most money per head possible. How do you do that? Build stuff that is unique to people, SPECIALLY if you live in a sandbox. So, Dubai did what it had to do, I dont think a lot of it is because the Sheikh is a bad guy (although he surely looks badass and could most definitely beat up even Chuck Norris). So, the article has an overdramatic tone to it that decreases its credibility in my opinion.
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Postby Michael » Mon Dec 14, 2009 11:23 pm

Maybe so.. I also thought he was a little over the edge..
I noted it because this wasn't the first time I heard about the trouble in paradise.
http://www.shanghaiexpat.com/index.php? ... pic&t=9127


And the whole situation there - it just seems strange.
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